Win rate

Win rate is the share of a proven whale’s decided (non-void) resolved bets that hit the outcome they backed. It is computed at the market level — which outcome the market actually resolved to — using only publicly-knowable settlement data.

Crucially, win rate is not a per-wallet profit figure. The free Polymarket data can’t report realized profit truthfully, so we never claim it. A high win rate means the whale tended to back the outcome that settled true; it does not promise future results.