Glossary · Filters
Consensus
How many distinct whales are already on the same market and outcome.
Consensus counts the distinct whales already on the same market and the same outcome at or before a given bet. It is strictly point-in-time — there is no lookahead, so a consensus figure only ever reflects what was knowable at that moment.
In the research views, raising the consensus requirement (2+ or 3+ whales agreeing) is the single biggest historical lever on signal quality — most of the improvement comes from the jump between one whale and two.